Research

Market intelligence for the prediction-market sector.

POLY-MARKET researches prediction markets, event contracts, regulatory developments, and crowd-based probability signals with a European focus.

Market intelligence

Research on the development of prediction markets, event-contract platforms, probability-based information tools, and related market infrastructure.

Regulatory tracking

Monitoring public regulatory developments, policy discussions, and legal-market signals affecting European prediction-market infrastructure.

Custom research

Research requests for media, operators, investors, and professionals seeking a clearer view of European prediction-market trends.

Latest research notes

Recent POLY-MARKET research

Short notes explaining prediction markets, regulatory categories, event contracts, and probability-based market intelligence.

Research Note · May 2026

What Are Prediction Markets?

A simple introduction to prediction markets, event contracts, market sentiment, and probability signals.

Regulatory Watch · May 2026

European Prediction Markets and Regulation: Key Concepts

A short note on why prediction markets in Europe may be analysed through different legal and commercial categories.

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